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Economic turmoil: Unveiling Africa’s underperforming stock markets in 2023

Unveiling Africa's underperforming stock markets in 2023

Amidst economic headwinds, while some African stock markets bask in the glow of success, others grapple with declining returns and heightened investor caution. As of June 2023, the following stock markets have encountered significant challenges, demanding meticulous scrutiny from investors:

  1. Nigeria (Down 33.6%) Nigeria’s once-thriving stock market has weathered a substantial blow, witnessing a staggering 33.6% decline in US dollar returns. The combination of currency depreciation and reliance on imports has sparked concern among investors, prompting them to reassess their positions.
  2. Zimbabwe (Down 30.5%) Zimbabwe’s persistent economic woes cast a somber shadow on its stock market, resulting in a sharp 30.5% decrease in US dollar returns. The nation’s currency instability and challenging economic conditions have eroded investor confidence, leaving many wary of the market’s future prospects.
  3. Tanzania (Down 2.8%) Tanzania’s stock market has faced headwinds, leading to a modest 2.8% decline in US dollar returns. Amidst regional economic challenges, investors remain cautious about the market’s trajectory, closely monitoring developments to inform their investment decisions.
  4. Rwanda, Seychelles, and Mauritius (Down 1.0%, 0.8%, 0.5%) While relatively modest, these markets have also experienced declines, mirroring broader economic uncertainties in the region. As sentinels of vigilance, investors keep a watchful eye on these markets, keen to identify potential opportunities amidst the turbulence.

Despite market challenges, select companies stand out with exceptional return on equity (ROE) and noteworthy valuation metrics, beckoning astute investors seeking potential value opportunities:

  1. Nestle Nigeria (Return on Equity: 161.6%) Nestle Nigeria captivates investors with a remarkable 161.6% Return on Equity, positioning it as an attractive prospect for those who prioritize solid fundamentals and growth potential.
  2. IHS Towers (Return on Equity: -31.7%) Conversely, IHS Towers faces an uphill battle with a negative Return on Equity, signaling underlying issues that warrant rigorous examination. Investors remain cautious, treading carefully before making any decisive moves.

For those seeking undervalued opportunities amidst the storm, the following companies may pique interest:

  • Geregu Power (P/E Ratio: 73.7x) Despite a seemingly high Price-to-Earnings ratio, Geregu Power allures the savvy investor with compelling growth prospects, sparking interest in a market otherwise dimmed by uncertainty.
  • Seplat Energy Plc (P/B Value Ratio: 0.62x) With a low Price-to-Book Value ratio, Seplat Energy emerges as a potential diamond in the rough, presenting an undervalued investment opportunity that intrigues discerning investors.

As markets navigate through challenging times, investors must exercise prudence, carefully weighing the risks and rewards, and seeking opportunities aligned with their investment strategies.

Article by Victor Oluwole

Head and Editor at Business Insider Africa

 

 

 

 

Naira’s dramatic comeback: Experts predict ₦700 to $1

Financial markets

  • Nigeria’s naira shows signs of dramatic comeback against the US dollar.
  • Experts predict a potential exchange rate of ₦700 naira to a dollar.
  • Recent government reforms and improved investor confidence contribute to the currency’s resurgence.

In a surprising turn of events, Nigeria’s national currency, the naira, may make a dramatic comeback against the US dollar, with financial experts predicting a remarkable turnaround to reach 700 to $1.

According to experts, the recent government reforms and improved investor confidence are the driving forces behind this promising development.

Wale Edun, a prominent financial advisor to President Bola Tinubu, shared his optimism during a high-level discussion with lawmakers in the capital city, Abuja. He confidently asserted that the fundamental value of the naira should be around 700 against the dollar.

Edun’s insights come as a glimmer of hope for Nigerians, as he warned speculators against betting on the naira’s decline, indicating a real chance of losses for those who underestimate the currency’s resilience.

The government’s proactive measures to reorganize the exchange-rate system, coupled with the elimination of costly gasoline subsidies, have significantly bolstered investor confidence in the Nigerian economy.

As Africa’s largest crude oil producer, Nigeria’s recent decision to ease foreign-exchange controls has streamlined its currency regime, bridging the gap between the unofficial and parallel market rates.

Financial markets are closely watching the naira’s progress as it inches closer to the coveted 700 to the dollar mark. If the predictions come to fruition, the naira’s dramatic comeback could reshape Nigeria’s economic landscape and boost the country’s position on the global financial stage.

Article by Victor Oluwole

Head and Editor at Business Insider Africa

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